The crypto industry is ending the year in a fragile but stabilizing phase, marked by sharp corrections, shifting investor behavior, and early signs of consolidation around the largest networks.
In price terms, Bitcoin has fallen more than 30 percent from its October all time high near 126,000 dollars to the mid 80,000 dollar range, putting it on track for its worst quarter since 2018 and down about 22 percent this quarter alone.[3][10] VanEck data shows Bitcoin network hashrate dropped about 4 percent through mid December, the steepest fall since April 2024, as higher energy costs and miner capitulation forced weaker operators offline, which historically has preceded medium term recoveries.[3] Despite the drawdown, spot Bitcoin ETF holdings are down less than 5 percent from the peak, indicating most institutional investors are holding through volatility.[3][1]
Flows, however, turned negative in the past week. CoinShares reported roughly 952 million dollars of outflows from digital asset funds, the fourth worst weekly result this year, with 555 million leaving Ethereum products and 460 million leaving Bitcoin products.[3] By contrast, XRP exchange traded products logged about 82 million dollars of net inflows over six weeks and a 25 day positive streak, even as XRP’s price is still almost 50 percent below its all time high and roughly flat on the week around 1.90 dollars.[3]
On chain data shows 2025 has seen record selling by Bitcoin whales. Large holders reduced their balances by about 161,000 BTC, worth roughly 15 billion dollars at current prices, the biggest distribution by whales on record and typically a pattern that appears before or during deeper corrections.[4][13] At the same time, mid sized “shark” wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC have been steady net buyers, suggesting influence is slowly shifting from a few legacy whales toward a broader base of holders.[4]
Altcoins present a mixed picture. Ethereum and Solana remain among 2025’s stronger performers overall, supported by real world asset tokenization and institutional staking products, though they have also been hit in the latest wave of fund outflows.[1][3] Chainlink is a notable outlier: new ETF products attracted about 2 million dollars of net inflows on December 22 alone as whales accumulated in anticipation of higher prices.[9]
Structurally, liquidity is concentrating. Internal flow data from major market makers shows both institutional and retail money rotating back toward Bitcoin and Ethereum at year end, while risk appetite for smaller tokens has faded after the October crash and subsequent volatility.[8][11] This is a clear change from earlier in 2025, when speculative altcoins captured a larger share of incremental flows.
Regulation remains a key overhang. In the United States, delays to a comprehensive market structure bill triggered a sharp sentiment reversal and were cited by CoinShares as a major factor behind last week’s nearly 1 billion dollars in fund outflows.[3] Globally, tighter rules on taxation, anti money laundering, and consumer protection have raised compliance costs and cooled some of the earlier enthusiasm for lightly regulated exchanges and lending platforms.[6] These developments, together with high profile failures and fraud cases earlier in the year, have reinforced a “flight to quality” narrative favoring well capitalized venues and blue chip assets.[6][11]
Consumer behavior reflects a more mature and cautious market. Surveys of crypto users in 2025 show a three step mindset: first assess the overall trend, then search for sector “alpha,” and finally focus on risk control, security, and project credibility.[2] Recent weeks fit this pattern: retail traders have been the main source of selling during the correction, especially those using leverage, while long term and institutional holders have mostly sat tight or selectively added on dips.[1][3] Social data also point to heavy
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2026/01/073 分