Rome, Egypt, the Aztecs—history has seen the rise and fall of many once-dominant civilizations. But could we be witnessing a similar story unfolding in our forests, with the decline of a once-dominant tree species? Black cherry (Prunus serotina) has long shaped the ecology and economy of the Allegheny hardwood region. However, declining regeneration, growth, and survival are challenging traditional forest management practices and raising important questions about the future of this iconic species. In this episode of SilviCast, we talk with Dr. Alex Royo, Research Ecologist, and Dr. Lance Vickers, Assistant Professor of Forest Management and Forest Dynamics at the University of Kentucky, about the ecological and societal factors behind black cherry’s decline and what it means for forest managers. Drawing on recent research and decades of field observations, they explore what is happening with this important hardwood species and how foresters can adapt silvicultural strategies, build forest resilience, and make informed decisions in a changing environment.
Guests on this Episode
Alejandro Royo, Ph.D., Scientist at University of Kentucky and Founder of Alex Royo Ecological Services, LLC
Alejandro Royo was born and raised in the Republic of Panama, where he developed an early fascination with science and the natural world. After earning his Ph.D. in Ecology from the University of Pittsburgh, he spent 23 years as a research ecologist with the U.S. Forest Service. His research examines the factors that shape forest plant diversity in a changing world, with particular emphasis on ungulate browsing, disturbance, silviculture, and climate change. Following his retirement from Forest Service research, he joined the University of Kentucky as a staff scientist and founded Alex Royo Ecological Services, LLC, through which he provides scientific consulting in forest ecology, research design, data analysis, and natural resource management.
Lance Vickers, Ph.D., Assistant Professor of Forest Dynamics & Management, University of Kentucky Department of Forestry and Natural Resources
Dr. Lance A. Vickers is an Assistant Professor in the University of Kentucky Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, where he leads the Forest Dynamics & Management Lab. The lab’s research applies silvicultural approaches to contemporary forest management challenges, with emphasis on the regeneration, recruitment, and population dynamics of ecologically and economically important forest tree species. Dr. Vickers earned a Ph.D. in Quantitative Silviculture from the University of Missouri in 2015, an M.S. in Silviculture from Virginia Tech in 2009, and a B.S. in Forestry from the University of Arkansas at Monticello in 2006.
Show Notes
Little Arnot Photo Series - USDA Forest Service Northern Research Station
The Forest of Unintended Consequences: Anthropogenic Actions Trigger the Rise and Fall of Black Cherry - Royo, Vickers, et al. Bioscience Vol. 71 No. 7. July 2021.
Changes in Black Cherry Seed Production: Is Stand Age a Factor? - Long and Ristau. Northeastern Naturalist 27(2): pp. 281–298. 2020.
Black Cherry: Evolution of a Species - Royo, Ristau, Vickers. Rooted in Research USDA Forest Service Northern Research Station. Issue 11. October 2022.
Evaluating the Extent and Severity of Black Cherry Regeneration Declines in Eastern Forests and Exploring Potential Causes - Vickers, Lance A.; Royo, Alejandro A.; Stout, Susan L.; Ristau, Todd; Oldland, William K.; Knapp, Benjamin O.; Knapp, Lauren S.P.; Hille, Andrea. 2025. Evaluating the extent and severity of black cherry regeneration declines in eastern forests and exploring potential causes. In: Conkling, B.L.; Pandit, K., eds. Forest Health Monitoring: Evaluation Monitoring project summaries 2023. Gen. Tech. Rep. WO-105a. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 9–16. Chapter 2.
Learn more about Alex Royo
Learn more about Lance Vickers
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