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  • Who Missed the OSAP warning signs

    Who Missed the OSAP warning signs
    2026/11/06
    Ontario's Liberals are looking for a new leader. The Ford government is facing serious questions about its handling of OSAP. Provincial debt continues to climb. And Ontario's teachers may be heading toward a labour showdown.

    So, is Doug Ford finally becoming politically vulnerable? Or will the opposition once again struggle to turn government controversies into electoral opportunity?

    This week on On the Ledge — Your Ontario Politics Podcast, Dave Trafford is joined by veteran Queen's Park journalist Keith Leslie, former Canadian Press Bureau Chief, and Steve Cornwell of The Trillium.

    The Ontario Liberal leadership race is approaching its finish line, but the candidates are having a tough time capturing public attention. The panel considers whether the Liberals have the ideas, leadership and political strategy to take on Doug Ford — particularly with the next provincial election potentially as far away as 2030.

    Then there's the money.

    Ontario's projected deficit has increased by $3 billion, provincial debt has surpassed $500 billion, and the government is setting aside additional contingency funding as the threat of new American tariffs hangs over the auto and steel industries. How long can the Ford government continue to present itself as fiscally responsible?

    But the biggest accountability questions may be emerging in the OSAP controversy.
    Reports of questionable student assistance applications involving private career colleges, warnings that may have gone unheeded, and uncertainty surrounding the release of a KPMG audit are putting the government on the defensive.

    And while Queen's Park attempts to tighten the rules, legitimate students are being caught in the middle, with some facing uncertainty about their ability to pay tuition, cover rent or continue their education.

    The panel also digs into the province's increasingly strained relationships with municipalities, including Toronto's financial deal, regional governance and the growing pressure on local infrastructure.
    And finally, is Ontario headed for another teachers' strike?

    With labour negotiations unresolved, strike votes underway and the government facing significant public disapproval on education, the political stakes could be considerable.

    On the Ledge takes you inside the politics, the policy and the personalities shaping Ontario — with informed analysis, sharp opinions and a healthy dose of skepticism.

    CHAPTERS
    00:00 Introduction — Dave Trafford, Keith Leslie and Steve Cornwell
    01:28 Ontario Liberal Leadership — Can anyone beat Doug Ford?
    14:28 Ontario's Deficit, Federal Budget and Trump Tariffs
    27:09 OSAP Controversy — Private Career Colleges and Accountability
    37:09 Toronto's New Deal and Provincial-Municipal Relations
    43:24 Ontario Teachers and the Threat of a Strike

    JOIN THE CONVERSATION
    Have a thought about the show? Leave a comment below or visit davetrafford.com and use the voicemail option on the On the Ledge page.

    Tell us what we got right. Better yet, tell us where we're wrong.

    On the Ledge — Your Ontario Politics Podcast.

    #OntarioPolitics #DougFord #OSAP #OntarioLiberals #QueensPark #OntarioEducation #TeacherStrike #OnTheLedge


    You can watch OR listen to this episode on our YouTube Channel (Be sure to subscribe!)

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    And you can leave us a voice comment here!

    For more information go to Dave's website.
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    48 分
  • FEED DROP - Who was William Barker? Canada's most decorated serviceman.

    FEED DROP - Who was William Barker? Canada's most decorated serviceman.
    2026/11/03
    We all know Billy Bishop, the Toronto Island airport is named after him! So why don’t we know about William Barker? Barker was Bishop’s best friend and colleague, the most decorated serviceman in Commonwealth history and, to this date, his funeral was the largest ever to be held in Toronto.
    Featured voices in this episode:

    Jason Wilson, Professor of History, University of Guelph
    John Wright, Executive Vice President of Maru Public Opinion, serves as Honorary Colonel for the Chief of the Defence Staff Office and Chair of the RCAF Foundation.
    Rod Black, Sports Broadcaster
    RCAF Scholarship recipeient Evan Schonfeldt

    Pathway to the Stars is made possible by the Royal Canadian Air Force Foundation.
    Find out more about them at rcaffoundation.ca
    Please share about this special series. If you do, tag both Story Studio Network and the RCAF Foundation to help spread the word.
    Instagram:
    @storystudionetwork
    @rcaf_foundation
    Facebook:
    https://www.facebook.com/storystudionetwork/
    https://www.facebook.com/rcaffoundation
    Twitter:
    twitter.com/storystudionet
    twitter.com/rcaf_foundation
    LinkedIn:
    linkedin.com/company/story-studio-network
    linkedin.com/company/rcaf-foundation
    Credits:
    Executive Producer & Host - Dave Trafford
    Host & Promotions - Erin Trafford
    Chase Producer - Becky Coles


    You can watch OR listen to this episode on our YouTube Channel (Be sure to subscribe!)

    Follow Dave on Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn and X

    And you can leave us a voice comment here!

    For more information go to Dave's website.
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    31 分
  • The Ford Government's FREE FALL Economic Statement

    The Ford Government's FREE FALL Economic Statement
    2026/10/30
    After a 21-week break, the Ontario Legislature is finally back — and Dave Trafford, John Wright and Keith Leslie have plenty to talk about.

    What did the Ford government accomplish during the Legislature’s extraordinary five month recess besides avoiding scrutiny and accountability?

    Ontario’s financial picture quickly takes centre stage. The discussion examines government spending, healthcare pressures, job losses, the province’s growing debt and the economic threat posed by U.S. tariffs and a changing relationship with the United States.

    The panel also tackles Ontario’s garbage problem, including the risks of continuing to ship hundreds of truckloads of waste to Michigan.

    The conversation turns to political accountability with Stan Cho’s return as a parliamentary assistant following the controversy over taxpayer-funded hotel expenses.

    Does the issue matter to voters struggling with affordability — or has it already disappeared beneath much larger household concerns?

    Finally, the panel looks at Ontario’s Liberal leadership race and what the party will need to offer beyond opposition to Doug Ford, before examining the municipal election results, Olivia Chow’s Toronto victory, casino politics in Niagara Falls and concerns about third-party spending in local campaigns.

    CHAPTERS
    00:00 — Introduction, Remembrance and William Barker
    12:31 — Queen’s Park Returns After a 21-Week Break
    16:18 — Ontario’s Economy, Trump and the Government’s Financial Direction
    30:50 — Municipal Politics, Casinos and Growing Voter Cynicism
    34:24 — Stan Cho, Accountability and the Affordability Disconnect
    45:04 — Municipal Elections, Olivia Chow and Third-Party Spending

    You can watch OR listen to this episode on our YouTube Channel (Be sure to subscribe!)

    Follow Dave on Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn and X

    And you can leave us a voice comment here!

    For more information go to Dave's website.
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    54 分
  • Can Ontario’s Liberals Challenge Doug Ford? Tim Hudak Breaks Down the Political Landscape

    Can Ontario’s Liberals Challenge Doug Ford? Tim Hudak Breaks Down the Political Landscape
    2026/10/19
    Tim Hudak, (former Leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario and now Partner Counsel Public Affairs) joins Dave Trafford for a wide-ranging look at the political landscape as Queen’s Park prepares to return.

    They begin with Toronto’s seemingly indestructible bike-lane debate and the bigger issue underneath it: congestion, transit, construction and whether anyone has a coherent plan for moving people through a growing city. Hudak argues Toronto went too far with some bike lanes and weighs in on whether congestion pricing could ever find political support in Ontario.

    The conversation turns to the relationship between Toronto City Hall and Queen’s Park, including Doug Ford’s ability to work with politicians from different political stripes. Dave and Tim also dig into the very public dispute involving Paul Godfrey and the Ford government. Hudak sees it less as a fracture inside Ontario conservatism and more as a fight involving family.

    Then it’s Liberal leadership time. With Ontario’s Liberals trying to rebuild after successive election defeats, Hudak argues a healthy leadership race should be a genuine competition of ideas — and says the contest needs more passion and spark. He also offers a prediction about who could emerge as the non-Nav Bains candidate.

    Finally, with the legislature preparing to return, Hudak assesses the Ford government’s political energy, the impact of tariffs and Donald Trump, the emerging OSAP/career-college issue and the prospect of labour disruption in education.

    The episode closes on a personal note as Tim announces he’s stepping away from his regular On the Ledge appearances as his work at Council Public Affairs grows — although the door remains open for a return visit.

    Chapters
    00:00 — Introduction: Tim Hudak Returns to the Ledge
    Dave welcomes Tim Hudak and sets the table for the conversation.
    03:02 — Toronto’s Bike Lanes, Congestion and the Search for a Plan
    Is the bike-lane fight finally nearing its end? Dave and Tim tackle congestion, transit, construction coordination and the possibility of congestion pricing.
    09:10 — Toronto City Hall, Queen’s Park and Doug Ford’s Pragmatism
    What happens to the provincial-municipal relationship regardless of who occupies the mayor’s office?
    11:44 — Paul Godfrey vs. the Ford Government
    Hudak weighs in on the dispute involving Paul Godfrey, his son, the Skills Development Fund and Godfrey’s removal from the Order of Ontario advisory council.
    15:05 — Can Ontario’s Liberals Find Their Spark?
    The Liberal leadership contest, the need for a competition of ideas, Hudak’s own leadership experience and his prediction about where the race could go.
    21:09 — Queen’s Park Returns — and Hudak Signs Off
    The Ford government’s next challenges, tariffs, the OSAP/career-college issue, education labour relations and Tim’s decision to step away as a regular contributor.


    You can watch OR listen to this episode on our YouTube Channel (Be sure to subscribe!)

    Follow Dave on Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn and X

    And you can leave us a voice comment here!

    For more information go to Dave's website.
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    28 分
  • It's October 7, 2026: This WIll Make You Uncomfortable

    It's October 7, 2026: This WIll Make You Uncomfortable
    2026/10/07
    This is a FEED DROP special for the On the Ledge audience.

    This is the first episode of a new series we've developed and produced at Story Studio Network. It's called This Will Make You Uncomfortable.

    In the debut episode of This Will Make You Uncomfortable, you’ll meet host Brian Mirsky, a fourth generation Canadian Jew who believes that Canada's reputation for tolerance toward Jews doesn't match reality, past or present.

    He traces his family history from his great grandfather's flight from Belarus to his father's WWII service and firsthand witness of the liberation of Bergen Belsen, through his own experience with antisemitism in university and corporate Canada, and how a posting in France showed him how bad things can get when a country looks away.

    If anything you heard made you think or make you uncomfortable, reach out to Brian at this website: www.thiswillmakeyouuncomfortable.com

    SUBSCRIBE/FOLLOW This Will Make You Uncomfortable
    On Apple
    On Spotify


    You can watch OR listen to this episode on our YouTube Channel (Be sure to subscribe!)

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    And you can leave us a voice comment here!

    For more information go to Dave's website.
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    13 分
  • What's next for the Ontario Liberal Party and Kathleen Wynne?

    What's next for the Ontario Liberal Party and Kathleen Wynne?
    2026/09/16
    This is part two of my sitdown conversation with the Honourable Kathleen Wynne.

    We talk about the future of the party she led and what's in the cards for her immediate future?

    Ontario’s Liberal leadership race is about more than choosing a new leader. In this conversation, Kathleen argues the party needs to use the contest to demonstrate what it actually stands for — and, more importantly, what it would actually do.

    With the final leadership vote coming in November, she says Liberals need to move beyond criticism of Doug Ford and offer practical, understandable solutions to problems confronting Ontario. She points specifically to education, post-secondary funding, OSAP, healthcare and the reliance on agency nurses. The leadership race, she argues, provides an opportunity to position the party as a credible problem solver rather than simply an opposition voice.

    Kathleen draws a parallel to 2003, when Dalton McGuinty and his team developed practical responses to problems they believed had been created under the Harris government. She suggests the next Liberal leader could follow the leadership contest with some form of policy convention — taking the strongest ideas from the campaign and turning them into a broader conversation about the party’s direction.

    The conversation also provides an insider’s perspective on leadership campaigns themselves. Kathleen recalls the unusual challenge of debating people who are political competitors but also friends and future colleagues. Winning an internal race, she says, means eventually working with the candidates, their supporters, MPPs and riding associations — making it important to keep lines of communication open.

    Then the conversation becomes decidedly more personal.

    Kathleen explains her decision to step back from regular media commitments after decades immersed in politics and public life.

    She talks about family, grandchildren, teaching, aging, the demands of caregiving and her desire to be more spontaneously available to the people who matter to her.

    It becomes a thoughtful farewell conversation about politics, family, careers — and the costs that come with choosing where to spend our time.


    You can watch OR listen to this episode on our YouTube Channel (Be sure to subscribe!)

    Follow Dave on Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn and X

    And you can leave us a voice comment here!

    For more information go to Dave's website.
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    23 分
  • Who will blink first in the Canada-US Trade War?

    Who will blink first in the Canada-US Trade War?
    2026/08/27
    What the hell happened?

    Canada’s trade relationship with the United States has gone from tense to an all-out trade war.

    In this special edition of On the Ledge with Dave Trafford, we trace how negotiations unravelled, how Donald Trump’s threatened 50% tariffs escalated the confrontation, and what the fallout could mean for Ontario workers, businesses and the auto sector.

    Monday, the war of words went nuclear, starting with Ontario Premier Doug Ford telling Newstalk 1010's Bill Carroll "(Trump) can kiss my ass).

    Tuesday, I drop in on the Gene Valaitis Show on 610 CKTB News, to update the latest in Doug Ford’s blunt response to Trump, the Presidents threat to rename Lake Ontario and the debate over whether Canada should retaliate with tariffs, energy, oil, potash and other strategic resources.

    We also discussion also examines the potentially devastating impact on businesses dependent on the U.S. market — and why Americans could ultimately pay through higher prices and scarcity.

    On Wednesday morning, former Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne joins me for a deeper look at what she calls “uncharted waters.” We discuss Mark Carney’s decision to walk away from the negotiating table, Canadian sovereignty, national unity, Alberta separatism, the future of North American trade and the particular vulnerability of Ontario’s auto industry.

    Wynne also looks beyond Washington. As Canada tries to diversify its trading relationships, China presents both economic opportunity and significant strategic risk. And with U.S. midterm elections approaching, we ponder whether political change in Washington would actually bring Canada any closer to resolving the trade war.

    Chapters
    00:00 — Introduction: How the Canada-U.S. Trade Deal Fell Apart
    Dave sets up a chaotic week that ended with 50% tariffs and an escalating trade war.
    02:35 — Doug Ford, Donald Trump and the Politics of Retaliation
    Dave’s CKTB conversation examines Ford’s response, counter-tariffs, energy threats and the immediate risks to Canadian jobs and businesses.
    16:58 — Kathleen Wynne: Canada Enters “Uncharted Waters”
    The former Ontario premier discusses political uncertainty, national unity, Mark Carney and Canada’s decision to walk away from the U.S. negotiations.
    28:46 — Who Really Pays for a Canada-U.S. Trade War?
    Tariffs, product scarcity, American businesses and the escalating economic consequences on both sides of the border.
    38:10 — Ontario’s Auto Industry Faces an Existential Threat
    Wynne and Trafford examine auto tariffs, plant investment, EV policy and whether manufacturing jobs could migrate south.
    47:17 — China, Free Trade and What Comes Next
    As the North American trading relationship fractures, Canada confronts new opportunities — and risks — in China and other global markets.


    You can watch OR listen to this episode on our YouTube Channel (Be sure to subscribe!)

    Follow Dave on Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn and X

    And you can leave us a voice comment here!

    For more information go to Dave's website.
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    55 分
  • We Interrupt This Summer Recess at Queen's Park

    We Interrupt This Summer Recess at Queen's Park
    2026/07/30
    It's an EMERGENCY SESSION of On the Ledge - your Ontario politics podcast!

    This special summer edition of On the Ledge breaks from the usual hiatus to examine a turbulent stretch in Ontario politics.

    Dave Trafford is joined by veteran Queen's Park journalists Jessica Smith Cross (Editor-in-Chief at The Trillium) and Keith Leslie , (Former Queen's Park Bureau Chief, The Canadian Press), to assess how a series of controversies has altered the political landscape heading into the fall.

    The discussion explores the Ford government's mounting challenges, including the fallout from the government Gravy Plane fiasco, MPP expense claims scandal, caucus tensions, declining public approval, and an increasingly "off-brand" image for Premier Doug Ford.

    And then...there's the federal decision to pause Billy Bishop Airport expansion, and Ford Nation's uncoordinated response - starting with a veiled threat from the province to stop the federal plans for a high speed rail corridor between Ontario and Quebec.

    All this while Doug Ford's government is roundly criticized for Ontario's wildfire response or lack thereof. Emergency Preparedness Minister Jill Dunlop was ill=prepared for a recent radio interview she did on As It Happens. (It was a comms disaster that cost Dunlop's press secretary her job. LISTEN TO IT HERE)

    And heading into August teacher contract negotiations are going nowhere, while the province's preparedness for AI data centres.

    The conversation analyzes how these stories have been covered by journalists, why they are resonating with the public, and what they could mean for Ontario politics when the Legislature returns this fall.

    Chapters
    00:00 – Introduction & Summer Political Reset
    Dave Trafford welcomes Jessica Smith Cross and Keith Leslie for a special summer roundtable examining Ontario's biggest political stories.
    02:05 – Expense Scandals, the "Gravy Plane" & Ford's Brand
    How MPP expense claims, leaked caucus memos and the government aircraft controversy have reshaped public perception of the Ford government.
    23:45 – Billy Bishop Airport, Federal Pushback & Political Fallout
    The panel discusses Ottawa's decision to pause Billy Bishop expansion, provincial reactions, and the broader implications for federal-provincial relations.
    35:30 – Wildfires, Forest Management & Emergency Response
    Ontario's record wildfire season, evacuation challenges, forestry policy and questions surrounding government preparedness.
    51:45 – Looking Ahead to Fall Politics
    Teacher contract negotiations, AI data centre regulation, and the political issues likely to dominate Ontario's agenda when the Legislature returns.



    You can watch OR listen to this episode on our YouTube Channel (Be sure to subscribe!)

    Follow Dave on Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn and X

    And you can leave us a voice comment here!

    For more information go to Dave's website.
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    54 分