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  • The 2024 Election Prediction Special

    The 2024 Election Prediction Special
    2024/11/04

    72 million early votes: https://www.reuters.com/world/us-election-2024-live-trump-harris-north-carolina-2024-11-02/

    State Governor Races

    Deleware - d

    North Carolina - d

    Washington - d

    New Hampshire - d

    Indiana - r

    Missouri - r

    Montana - r

    North Dakota - r

    Vermont - r

    Utah - r

    West Virginia - r

    Missouri Governor

    Quade v. Kehoe

    https://www.cookpolitical.com/governor/race/306346#race-id-gov

    House

    https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/final-house-ratings-majority-still-knifes-edge

    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

    Colorado - Sean any insite there?

    Senate

    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings

    Missouri - Kunce and Hawley had a debate on Halloween, Kunce held his own for sure, unlikely it mattered considering it was on Halloween and well into early voting

    POTUS

    https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings

    270: https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/national

    FiveThirtyEight; https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

    Silver:

    https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

    @TheHeartlandPOD on Twitter and Threads

    Co-Hosts
    Adam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Threads)

    Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Threads)

    Sean Diller (no social)

    The Heartland Collective - Sign Up Today!

    JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK!

    “Change The Conversation”

    Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium

    http://www.americanaquarium.com/
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    1 時間 33 分
  • BONUS POD: Crystal Quade For Missouri Governor

    BONUS POD: Crystal Quade For Missouri Governor
    2024/11/01
    Adam is joined by Rep. Crystal Quade to talk about the home stretch in the 2024 cycle and her campaign to be the next Missouri Governor. @TheHeartlandPOD on Twitter and Threads Co-Hosts Adam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Threads) Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Threads) Sean Diller (no social) The Heartland Collective - Sign Up Today! JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK! “Change The Conversation” Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium http://www.americanaquarium.com/
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    21 分
  • November 1, 2024 | Dudes... Pay Attention

    November 1, 2024 | Dudes... Pay Attention
    2024/11/01
    Adam talks about early voting and has a message specifically for the "dudes" to close out 2024 election season. @TheHeartlandPOD on Twitter and Threads Co-Hosts Adam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Threads) Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Threads) Sean Diller (no social) The Heartland Collective - Sign Up Today! JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK! “Change The Conversation” Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium http://www.americanaquarium.com/
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    25 分
  • The Abortion Argument and MO Amd. 3

    The Abortion Argument and MO Amd. 3
    2024/10/28
    OPINIONS, MORALITY, AND MEDICAL REALITY: WHY I’M A VOTING “YES” ON MISSOURI AMENDMENT 3Reader warning: This piece includes language regarding abortion, and sexual assault.As a man I am uniquely unqualified to talk about Women’s reproductive health. Along with being a man, I am not a doctor and have very little formal education regarding human reproduction. In fact, in high school I was able to choose between biology and physical science (physics light) and I took physical science. Instead of human anatomy I took an astronomy class. You want to know about planetary movement via ellipse? I’ve got you covered. But when it comes to the science behind female reproductive matters, I am - to quote Missouri Congressman Jason Smith “not an expert” on the topic. Being not an expert on the topic, however, doesn’t stop plenty of folks, men and women alike, from taking strong stances on the topic of abortion. In Missouri, where I live with my wife (who is not a medical professional either but is a mother of 3 and seems to know a bit more about her own health needs than I do) we have Amendment 3 on the November ballot. Amendment 3 (MO3) asks voters in Missouri whether or not we should amend our State Constitution to allow for reproductive care to be legal, with regulation, in the State. You can read the actual text on the Secretary of State’s website. THE BASIC ARGUMENTS AGAINSTFolks arguing against MO3 have taken two main paths. First, the most common and predictable, is the purely moral argument. That abortion is wrong, period. This is typically through a religious stance. Second, is that the language of the proposed amendment allows for various other medical procedures including gender affirming care, and that somehow children will be given secret transition surgery without parental consent. Most far-fetched is that somehow these secret surgeries will be happening at school. The second argument, the one about the broad language and secret surgeries, is flat out ridiculous. It is, at best, ill-informed and at worst an intentionally misleading lie. It’s so clearly incorrect that I have nothing more to say on it other than to say this: Anyone making that argument is verifiably and demonstrably wrong. The first, the moral argument, reveals an issue that is glossed over. It is not an actual argument about abortion, what it is, what it means, or when it occurs, but rather a desire to have state law mirror religious belief. The most obvious and simple retort here is that our system is intentionally designed to avoid just that. Passing laws to enact religious doctrine is inherently unconstitutional, and it has been. More importantly, the moral argument is often centered around the concept that “abortion” means killing - and ignores the reality of what “abortion” actually includes. PERSONAL EDUCATION POST DOBBS DECISION Prior to the Supreme Court’s decision in the Dobb’s case, overturning the Roe case and returning the question of abortion’s legality to the States, I would have told you that while I supported a woman’s right to choose, I thought all abortion was a tragedy. I was a fairly standard “pro-choice, but” kind of voter in that way, and it is a position that a lot of folks shared. After Dobbs, however, I learned. I educated myself on the medical procedures that fall into “abortion” and I listened to the folks who could best educate me on the topic. I listened to doctors. I listened to WOMEN. Before Dobbs I couldn’t have told what a “D&C” or “D&E” procedure was, or why they were used, or when they were needed. Now, I know. You can read the actual stats on abortion in the United States including the data from the CDC which shows when in the gestational stage most abortive procedures take place. What I learned left me with two conclusions: I knew even less than I thought about abortion. I shouldn’t be making the decision about these medical issues.I mentioned above I’m a father to three, yet even after experiencing the births of my own children I was still woefully out of touch with reality. CHOICE ALLOWS HEALTH CAREWhat I know, now, is that “abortion” is a single word with a broad medical meaning. What I know now, is that “abortion” is not what I was led to believe through my church or moral instruction on the topic. Pew Research provides the following information: “The CDC broadly divides abortions into two categories: surgical abortions and medication abortions, which involve pills. Since the Food and Drug Administration first approved abortion pills in 2000, their use has increased over time as a share of abortions nationally, according to both the CDC and Guttmacher.The majority of abortions in the U.S. now involve pills, according to both the CDC and Guttmacher. The CDC says 56% of U.S. abortions in 2021 involved pills, up from 53% in 2020 and 44% in 2019. Its figures for 2021 include the District of Columbia and 44 states ...
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    24 分
  • October 25, 2024 | Marvin Manring for MO 127

    October 25, 2024 | Marvin Manring for MO 127
    2024/10/25
    Marvin Manring for MO 127 joins Adam for a chat. @TheHeartlandPOD on Twitter and Threads Co-Hosts Adam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Threads) Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Threads) Sean Diller (no social) The Heartland Collective - Sign Up Today! JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK! “Change The Conversation” Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium http://www.americanaquarium.com/
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    29 分
  • October 21, 2024 | Panic Sells

    October 21, 2024 | Panic Sells
    2024/10/21
    Adam, Rachel, and Sean talk about the current media induced panic surrounding the 2024 election. @TheHeartlandPOD on Twitter and Threads Co-Hosts Adam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Threads) Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Threads) Sean Diller (no social) The Heartland Collective - Sign Up Today! JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK! “Change The Conversation” Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium http://www.americanaquarium.com/
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    1 時間 28 分
  • Missouri 2024 Ballot Measures for November 5

    Missouri 2024 Ballot Measures for November 5
    2024/10/18

    Link to Secretary of State Ballot Language for reference: https://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/petitions/2024BallotMeasures

    @TheHeartlandPOD on Twitter and Threads

    Co-Hosts
    Adam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Threads)

    Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Threads)

    Sean Diller (no social)

    The Heartland Collective - Sign Up Today!

    JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK!

    “Change The Conversation”

    Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium

    http://www.americanaquarium.com/
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    28 分
  • October 14, 2024 | Misinformation, Disinformation, and Lies in 2024

    October 14, 2024 | Misinformation, Disinformation, and Lies in 2024
    2024/10/14
    TALKIN’ POLITICS First: WE HAD THIS THE WHOLE WAYABORTION > Inflation https://apnews.com/article/younger-women-abortion-survey-c8c504a7b9b5a92b4c101a57a3e3a4dcHEARTLANDMissouri - Mike Kehoe won’t acknowledge 2020 election results any longer https://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article293616364.htmlSame basic lines as Vance -https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/11/us/politics/vance-trump-2020-election-results.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShareThis is made more interesting since the available polling shows Kehoe in enough of a lead that he could just do nothing and likely win the race https://www.270towin.com/2024-governor-polls/missouriGateway pundit takes down LIES https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/10/gateway-pundit-defamation-lawsuit-election-workersAshcroft at election security summit - I’m sure it’s definitely focused on fairness right?https://missouriindependent.com/2024/10/10/midwest-secretaries-of-state-host-election-security-and-integrity-summit-in-nebraska/Meanwhile… Josh Hawley has embraced the lavish life of private jets he once used to campaign against McCaskill https://www.threads.net/@lucaskuncemo/post/DBB8UBDOy-D?xmt=AQGzAnm4nh7Oig3Yfg01939kHdDrBKEg_UCiaSpP_wdN9ANATIONALNational -Republicans lies about FEMA response Obama not having it (clip) https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/11/politics/video/barack-obama-pittsburg-speech-donald-trump-misinformation-digvid?cid=ios_appAID WORKERhttps://x.com/bradbeauregardj/status/1844462907704172699?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GATrump and MAGA claims about funding for relief being used for migrants is the epitome of nationalistic xenophobia - and was a total liehttps://www.npr.org/2024/10/07/nx-s1-5144159/fema-funding-migrants-disaster-relief-fundFox News pushing major lies:https://x.com/decodingfoxnews/status/1844598082719072588?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GAPeople REJECTING help from FEMAhttps://www.msnbc.com/morning-joe/watch/man-says-father-in-law-refusing-all-fema-help-because-of-trump-221374533846The lies are causing at least some rift with GOPhttps://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/10/10/hurricane-helene-republicans-trump/Harris doing media, including town hall, seems like she had a very good week amid the chaos Guardian op Ed: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2024/oct/12/a-week-in-a-swing-state-taught-me-a-lot-about-the-maga-cult-and-gave-me-hope-for-kamala-harris-pennsylvaniaFrom the great Dr. Tim Snyder, on why fascists are able to use lies to their vast (and FWIW historical) advantage: https://snyder.substack.com/p/from-the-storm-to-the-stormtroopersMusk is helping Trump by censoring Twitter after buying Twitter to allegedly allow for free speech https://www.thedailybeast.com/elon-musk-censors-jd-vance-leak-goes-full-tilt-for-donald-trumpAnd here is why I remain optimistic (clip)https://x.com/atrupar/status/1844765778865782934?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GA @TheHeartlandPOD on Twitter and ThreadsCo-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Threads)Rachel Parker @msraitchetp (Threads) Sean Diller (no social)The Heartland Collective - Sign Up Today!JOIN PATREON FOR MORE - AND JOIN OUR SOCIAL NETWORK!“Change The Conversation”Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium http://www.americanaquarium.com/
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    1 時間 39 分