• The Thin Line Between Sluggish Growth and Recession

  • 2024/09/10
  • 再生時間: 26 分
  • ポッドキャスト

The Thin Line Between Sluggish Growth and Recession

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  • Recent market volatility and the rise in the unemployment rate sparked fears of a potential recession. In this episode of Stocks In Translation, Yahoo Finance senior reporter Alexandra Canal, along with Yahoo Finance producer Sydnee Fried, sit down with Michael Darda, chief economist and macrostrategist at ROTH, to discuss the state of the economy and recession fears. "What's unfolding now actually makes a lot of sense to me," Darda says. "It's just been a rocket ship since the fall of 2022. And... we went almost a year without a 2% pullback until the volatility started in the middle of July of this year. So this is actually more normal than what we were dealing with before." On the unemployment rate, Darda says, "the problem... is that... we're up to 4.3 from a cyclical trough of 3.4. Those kinds of movements and the level tell us that the economy, if it's still growing is... growing below trend, below the growth rate of potential. There's an exceptionally fine line between that and an actual contraction recession." Find more episodes of Stocks in Translation here. Thoughts? Questions? Fan mail? Email us at yfpodcasts@yahooinc.com. Yahoo Finance's Stocks In Translation is hosted by Jared Blikre and produced by John Tejada and Alexander Frangeskides. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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あらすじ・解説

Recent market volatility and the rise in the unemployment rate sparked fears of a potential recession. In this episode of Stocks In Translation, Yahoo Finance senior reporter Alexandra Canal, along with Yahoo Finance producer Sydnee Fried, sit down with Michael Darda, chief economist and macrostrategist at ROTH, to discuss the state of the economy and recession fears. "What's unfolding now actually makes a lot of sense to me," Darda says. "It's just been a rocket ship since the fall of 2022. And... we went almost a year without a 2% pullback until the volatility started in the middle of July of this year. So this is actually more normal than what we were dealing with before." On the unemployment rate, Darda says, "the problem... is that... we're up to 4.3 from a cyclical trough of 3.4. Those kinds of movements and the level tell us that the economy, if it's still growing is... growing below trend, below the growth rate of potential. There's an exceptionally fine line between that and an actual contraction recession." Find more episodes of Stocks in Translation here. Thoughts? Questions? Fan mail? Email us at yfpodcasts@yahooinc.com. Yahoo Finance's Stocks In Translation is hosted by Jared Blikre and produced by John Tejada and Alexander Frangeskides. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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