検索キーワード： 未来学

What leads to political turbulence and social breakdown? How do elites maintain their dominant position? And why do ruling classes sometimes suddenly lose their grip on power? For decades, complexity scientist Peter Turchin has been studying world history like no one else. Assembling vast databases mined from 10,000 years of human activity, and then developing new models, he has transformed the way we learn from the past. End Times is the result: a ground-breaking account of how society works.

In today’s world, the acceleration of megatrends – increasing longevity and the explosion of technology among many others – are transforming life as we now know it. In The Perennials, bestselling author of 2030 Mauro Guillén unpacks a sweeping societal shift triggered by demographic and technological transformation. Guillén argues that outmoded terms like Boomers, Gen X, Millennials, and Gen Z have long been used to pigeonhole us into rigid categories and life stages, artificially preventing people from reaching their full potential.

Essential reading for any executive, Into the Metaverse, will reshape how you think about the internet and its place for those who want to lead successful businesses, today and into the future. If the internet was first used to connect us to information, and then developed into a social media forum to connect people, then Web3, which connects people, places and things, will help enable the successor state to today’s mobile internet - the Metaverse. It will bring together and merge our physical and digital lives and Metaverse will shake things up even more.

Ninguna empresa científica reciente ha resultado tan seductora, aterradora y llena de extravagantes promesas y frustrantes reveses como la IA. La galardonada científica informática Melanie Mitchell revela su turbulenta historia, la reciente oleada de aparentes éxitos, las grandes esperanzas y temores que la rodean, y las cuestiones más urgentes hoy: ¿hasta qué punto son realmente inteligentes los programas de IA? ¿Qué pueden hacer realmente? ¿Hasta qué punto esperamos que se asemejen a los humanos y cuándo debemos preocuparnos de que nos superen?

Gigatrends offers a roadmap for navigating six of the most disruptive trends shaping the future. Humanity stands at the precipice of a remarkable new era in global history filled with both immense opportunities and daunting challenges. Gigatrends examines how six disruptive trends can be harnessed to create new social, economic, and organizational solutions that will usher in the promise of a human-centered future for billions of people.

Most people think about technology as something we created to serve us, but we may well be getting to the point where we are the ones who're serving an ever more sophisticated technology. With pragmatism and optimism, Dr Tim Sharp, aka Dr Happy, outlines strategies and tools to build your confidence to positively cope with the modern world.

Life has never been easier thanks to the advancement of technology. However, with all new technological advancements also come new risks. The most drastically increasing issue in the world today is not biological warfare, but cyber warfare. Data has become the single most valuable commodity in today’s world, and, of course, there are always people lurking around the corner, trying to get their hands on it.

First comes a High, a period of confident expansion. Next comes an Awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion. Then comes an Unraveling, in which individualism triumphs over crumbling institutions. Last comes a Crisis—the Fourth Turning—when society passes through a great and perilous gate in history. William Strauss and Neil Howe will change the way you see the world—and your place in it. With blazing originality, The Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future.

We are entering a new technological age in which artificial intelligence and immersive media will transform society at all levels. If managed well, this could unleash a new age of abundance. If managed poorly, this technological revolution could easily go astray, deeply compromising our privacy, autonomy, agency, and even our humanity. In Our Next Reality, two industry veterans provide a data-driven debate on whether the new world we're creating will be a technological utopia or an AI-powered dystopia and gives guidance on how to aim for the best future we can.

Since the internet's earliest days, people have died and mourned online. In quiet corners of past iterations of the web, the dead linger. But attempts at preserving the data of the dead are often ill-fated, for websites and devices decay and die, just as people do. Death disrupts technologists' plans for platforms. It reveals how digital production is always collaborative, undermining the entrepreneurial platform economy and highlighting the flaws of techno-solutionism.

Leading futurist and OneShared.World founder Jamie Metzl explores how genome sequencing, gene editing, artificial intelligence, and other technologies are not only changing our lives, but catalyzing each other in radical and accelerating ways. These technologies have the potential to improve our health, feed billions of people, supercharge our economies, and store essential information for millions of years, but can also—if we are not careful—do immeasurable harm.

What’s coming next for today’s workforce, and the companies behind them? For those eager and willing to adapt, the possibilities are nearly endless, says author Gerard Szatvanyi. Recent advances in technology have led to new trends, and this global transformation holds tremendous potential. Nearly every industry will be impacted, and organizations that set the right vision could benefit from breaking into new markets and creating specialized niches.

Unser Planet ist begrenzt, aber wir müssen uns weiterentwickeln, um die Herausforderungen der Zukunft zu meistern. Anders Levermann, Leiter der Komplexitätsforschung am Potsdamer Klimainstitut, schlägt einen Weg vor, der dieses Dilemma auflöst und ganz nebenbei die Ungleichheitsexplosion in unserer Gesellschaft zähmt. Wir befinden uns am Ende des Zeitalters der Expansion – und wir brauchen eine Idee für den nächsten großen Schritt. Die Begrenztheit unserer Erde kollidiert mit der Notwendigkeit rasanter gesellschaftlicher Entwicklung.

Wir können mehr, als wir glauben, wenn wir verstehen, wie wir denken. Unsere Welt befindet sich in einem großen Umbruchprozess. Wir müssen die Energiewende schaffen, den Klimawandel aufhalten, unsere Wirtschaft und Verwaltung digitalisieren – und gleichzeitig unsere Demokratie gegen Fake News und digitale Meinungsmanipulation verteidigen. An guten Ideen und konkreten Vorschlägen, was zu tun ist, mangelt es nicht. Auch nicht an Vorstellungen, wie eine lebenswerte Zukunft aussehen sollte. Dennoch kommen wir nicht in die Gänge.

Las valiosas reflexiones del político más querido del mundo y del más importante pensador contemporáneo, reunidos por primera vez en Uruguay para llamar a la acción.

Chris Impey conducts listeners across the vast, fast-developing field of astrobiology, surveying the dizzying advances carrying us ever closer to the discovery of life beyond Earth—and the prospect of humans living on another planet. With a view spanning astronomy, planetary science, geology, chemistry, and biology, Impey provides a state-of-the-art account of what's behind this accelerating progress, what's next, and what it might mean for humanity's future.

The Human Injury describes the immensity of evolutionary influence upon modern behavior. Base human compulsions activate instantly. They crowd out the thinking mind. They fight enemies that no longer exist. These ancient compulsions have reinvented. They're making the rules. The gifts of nature that once kept our ancestors alive now combine to block human arrival to sustainability.

Dieses Buch ist der Aufruf zu einer neuen Klarheit des Denkens. Denn die Probleme von morgen können wir nicht mit der Denkweise und Philosophie von gestern bekämpfen. Wenn die wichtigsten politischen und philosophischen Errungenschaften der Aufklärung - Demokratie, Menschenrechte, evidenzbasiertes Denken - überleben sollen, müssen wir eine Lebensweise und ein Verständnis der Welt entwickeln, die dem menschlichen Wohlergehen verpflichtet sind und von planetarischer Gerechtigkeit getragen werden.

Deutschlands bekannteste Zukunftsforscherin nimmt Ängste und schärft den Blick nach vorn. "Der Mensch ist das Wesen, das die Fähigkeit hat, sich die Zukunft so detailliert vorzustellen, dass es sie erschaffen kann", schreibt Florence Gaub, und das ist in diesen Monaten eine Nachricht voll Hoffnung. Denn selten war die Zukunft mit so vielen und großen Unsicherheiten behaftet wie heute: Krieg, Klima, Inflation.

Wie kann es sein, dass das vermeintlich höchstentwickelte Wesen auf diesem Planeten seinen Lebensraum selbst zerstört? Haben wir unser Schicksal wirklich selbst in der Hand oder agieren wir nicht – wie jede andere Tierart auch – überwiegend instinktgesteuert? Augenscheinlich ja: Unfähig zu vorausschauendem, langfristigem Denken, rein an unmittelbarer Bedürfnisbefriedigung interessiert, plündert die Menschheit die Ressourcen des Planeten hemmungslos aus und steuert sehenden Auges in den eigenen Untergang. Peter Wohlleben gewährt erstmals Einblicke in die wahre Natur des Menschen.