Bubble Trouble: Laying Out Inconvenient Truths About How Business and Financial Markets Really Work

著者: Magnificent Noise x Richard Kramer x Will Page
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  • Bubble Trouble features conversations between economist and author Will Page and independent analyst Richard Kramer that lay out some inconvenient truths about how financial markets really work. Like the “boy who cried wolf,” financial markets have a peculiar tendency to repeat past mistakes and get themselves into “bubble trouble.” They party hard, drink too much of the Kool Aid, and wake up with a pounding hangover...only to do the same thing the next day. With tech dominating daily headlines and teenage traders driving stocks to unprecedented valuations, you might be asking “What’s really going on?” “What am I missing?” Imagine having a set of tour guides to tell you the “story behind the story” of the world’s largest tech companies, and how they bend - or break - the rules of economics.

    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    Copyright Magnificent Noise
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Bubble Trouble features conversations between economist and author Will Page and independent analyst Richard Kramer that lay out some inconvenient truths about how financial markets really work. Like the “boy who cried wolf,” financial markets have a peculiar tendency to repeat past mistakes and get themselves into “bubble trouble.” They party hard, drink too much of the Kool Aid, and wake up with a pounding hangover...only to do the same thing the next day. With tech dominating daily headlines and teenage traders driving stocks to unprecedented valuations, you might be asking “What’s really going on?” “What am I missing?” Imagine having a set of tour guides to tell you the “story behind the story” of the world’s largest tech companies, and how they bend - or break - the rules of economics.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Copyright Magnificent Noise
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  • We're Taking A Break!
    2025/02/17

    After 138 episodes and almost four years to the day since we recorded our first one, Will and Richard have decided to take a short break.


    We do plan to continue Bubble Trouble, and we are not short of bubbles that are causing trouble, but we want to take time to recharge and reflect on how we can make the show better than ever.


    We hope you’ll look back through the archives as there are so many episodes that are every bit as relevant today as they were in 2021 when we started. We’ll have word soon on when you can expect new episodes, but thanks so much for listening.



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    1 分
  • An X-Rated Account of Twitter with Kurt Wagner
    2025/02/03

    Who doesn’t like to talk about Twitter and Tweets? Word of mouth (or tweet) is the secret sauce of its success. But has it ever been successful? And if it hasn’t, how do you gauge the impact of Elon Musk’s shock therapy over the past two years? Journalist Kurt Wagner joins to share his deep dive profile of the tortured history of Twitter. [Repeat from May, 2024]


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)


    This episode of Bubble Trouble features a conversation with Bloomberg journalist Kurt Wagner, author of 'Battle for the Bird,' a book about Twitter's tumultuous history and evolution, particularly under Elon Musk's ownership. The hosts, independent analyst Richard Kramer and economist Will Page, delve into Twitter’s origins, its struggle to monetize effectively compared to giants like Meta, and the significant influence of Jack Dorsey’s leadership style on the platform's direction. They discuss the platform's missed opportunities, such as Vine and Periscope, and how it became a place where 'good ideas go to die.' The discussion also covers Musk's takeover, his attempts to transform Twitter into 'X', and the challenges of balancing free speech with the need for content moderation and advertiser appeal. Wagner shares insights on the potential future of 'X', the impact of Musk's leadership on the platform's advertising and user engagement, and the skepticism surrounding the 'everything app' concept Musk envisions.


    00:00 Introduction

    01:02 Part One

    01:02 Deep Dive with Kurt Wagner: The Story of Twitter

    02:36 The Origins and Evolution of Twitter

    06:20 Twitter's User Base and Business Model Explored

    09:10 The Challenges of Twitter's Business Model

    14:10 Board Dynamics and Google's Influence on Twitter

    18:03 Extravagant Spending and Corporate Culture at Twitter

    21:13 Reflections on Twitter's Stock Performance

    23:47 The Almost Disney-Twitter Deal: A Glimpse into Corporate Negotiations

    24:29 Twitter's Quest for a Savior and Its Struggle for Independence

    25:53 Missed Opportunities: The Story of Vine and Periscope

    27:27 Part Two

    27:27 Transition to Part Two: The Elon Musk Era at Twitter

    27:49 The Challenges of Rebranding Twitter to X and Musk's Controversial Leadership

    28:32 The Impact of Elon Musk's Actions on Twitter's Ad Revenue and Brand Safety

    36:52 The Struggle with Bots and Spam: Has It Gotten Worse?

    40:06 Free Speech Under Musk: A Double-Edged Sword

    44:26 The Everything App Ambition: A Skeptical View

    46:33 Closing Thoughts and Acknowledgements

    47:01 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    47 分
  • Tectonic Shifts in TV with Doug Shapiro
    2025/01/27

    This week let’s settle back to our sofas, grab our remote controls and work out what to watch with Doug Shapiro, among the most prominent voices in the world of television and its tech disrupters. His clear and concise work, all available to watch and read on his website is the go to for thousands.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)


    In this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts delve into the intricacies of media disruption with Doug Shapiro, a prominent voice in TV, economics, and tech. Celebrating over a century of their show's success, they explore topics such as the supply and demand curve changes, the potential of AI in content creation, and the future of media companies amidst technological advancements. Shapiro offers insights into the tectonic shifts affecting the industry, from the rise of new media over traditional formats to the economic implications of infinite content in a world of fixed demand. The discussion also touches on intellectual property, the ethics surrounding AI, and the challenges faced by incumbents in adapting to rapid innovation.


    00:00 Introduction

    00:42 Part One

    00:49 Guest Introduction: Doug Shapiro

    01:12 Doug Shapiro's Career Journey

    02:12 The Evolution of Media Consumption

    03:50 Supply and Demand in Media

    07:19 Generative AI and Content Creation

    10:32 The Future of Media Distribution

    23:09 The Creator Economy and Power Laws

    27:13 Part Two

    27:30 Hollywood vs. Big Tech

    30:00 AI's Impact on Hollywood: A Double-Edged Sword

    30:44 Disruption in the Entertainment Industry

    31:23 The Future of High-End Content

    32:06 AI as a Productivity Tool in Hollywood

    32:46 The Rise of AI-Enabled Studios

    33:43 Introducing Sora: The Future of Content Creation

    35:14 The Turing Test in Video Content

    38:22 Local Content vs. Global Tent Poles

    40:21 The Copyright Conundrum

    41:56 The Dirty Deal: Media and Tech Collusion

    48:06 The Fair Use Debate

    50:59 Disruption is Hard: Lessons from Netflix

    54:22 Concluding Thoughts and Future Outlook

    55:42 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    56 分
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