Bubble Trouble: Laying Out Inconvenient Truths About How Business and Financial Markets Really Work

著者: Magnificent Noise x Richard Kramer x Will Page
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  • Bubble Trouble features conversations between economist and author Will Page and independent analyst Richard Kramer that lay out some inconvenient truths about how financial markets really work. Like the “boy who cried wolf,” financial markets have a peculiar tendency to repeat past mistakes and get themselves into “bubble trouble.” They party hard, drink too much of the Kool Aid, and wake up with a pounding hangover...only to do the same thing the next day. With tech dominating daily headlines and teenage traders driving stocks to unprecedented valuations, you might be asking “What’s really going on?” “What am I missing?” Imagine having a set of tour guides to tell you the “story behind the story” of the world’s largest tech companies, and how they bend - or break - the rules of economics.

    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    Copyright Magnificent Noise
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あらすじ・解説

Bubble Trouble features conversations between economist and author Will Page and independent analyst Richard Kramer that lay out some inconvenient truths about how financial markets really work. Like the “boy who cried wolf,” financial markets have a peculiar tendency to repeat past mistakes and get themselves into “bubble trouble.” They party hard, drink too much of the Kool Aid, and wake up with a pounding hangover...only to do the same thing the next day. With tech dominating daily headlines and teenage traders driving stocks to unprecedented valuations, you might be asking “What’s really going on?” “What am I missing?” Imagine having a set of tour guides to tell you the “story behind the story” of the world’s largest tech companies, and how they bend - or break - the rules of economics.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Copyright Magnificent Noise
エピソード
  • Sonic Shifts: How Tech and Culture are Changing the Music Industry with Mark Mulligan
    2024/11/11

    This week we welcome Mark Mulligan of MIDiA Research who has had a ringside seat for years and years of bubbles, be it the creator economy, NFTs or AI music, or just everyone claiming they are gaining market share at the same time. He is the founder and driving force behind the tiny little company that an entire industry looks to as the source of truth.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)


    In this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page are joined by Mark Mulligan, a leading music industry analyst and founder of MIDiA Research. They delve into the intricate world of the music industry, discussing the evolution from digital streaming to the rise of new phenomena such as NFTs and AI in music. The trio explores the concept of bifurcation in markets and the distinction between high-end experiences versus bargain deals within the industry. The conversation also touches on the significant cultural shifts, the role of trade associations, and the future of personalized music experiences. Despite the optimism around technology, the hosts remain critical of mainstream narratives, emphasizing the importance of genuine innovation and realistic market assessments. This insightful and provocative discussion is a must-listen for anyone interested in the intersection of music, technology, and finance.


    00:00 Introduction to Bubble Trouble

    01:02 Welcoming Special Guest Mark Mulligan

    01:26 Mark Mulligan's Background and Insights

    02:34 The Evolution of Music Supply

    04:20 The Democratization of Music Creation

    06:13 AI and the Future of Music

    12:16 Fragmentation and Hyper-Targeting in Media

    13:40 The Role of Superstars and Long Tail Creators

    19:20 Streaming Platforms: Carnivores vs. Herbivores

    25:45 TikTok's Influence on the Music Industry

    27:33 Part Two

    28:38 Diving into the Music Industry's Hype

    30:08 Constructive Criticism in Emerging Technologies

    30:39 The Metaverse and NFTs: A Skeptical View

    31:28 Frameworks for Assessing New Technologies

    33:10 The Future of Digital Fandom

    35:15 Bifurcation in the Market

    43:07 Pendulum Swings in Technology Adoption

    44:54 Lessons from the Aviation Industry

    46:29 Final Thoughts and Predictions

    52:00 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    52 分
  • New Media Overtaking Old Media with Lauren Jarvis
    2024/11/04

    Podcasts are having another moment: Trump on Joe Rogan, Kamala on Call Her Daddy. New media is overtaking old media in audience and influence. Back in early 2023, we welcomed guest Lauren Jarvis, who helped bring Rogan to Spotify and growing podcasts into the medium we see today. Given this week’s election mania, we bring Lauren back to make sense of it all.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)

    The Podcast Boom: Analyzing Influence and the Future of Media


    In this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page delve into the evolving landscape of the podcast industry with guest Lauren Jarvis. They discuss the resurgence of podcasts as a significant media platform, touching on notable examples like Joe Rogan's recent Trump interview. The conversation also covers the economic potential of podcasts, their role in reaching new audiences, and the gamification of learning as a growing trend in tech. Jarvis shares insights on the integration of technology into daily life and the future of media consumption.


    00:00 Introduction to Bubble Trouble

    00:59 Part One

    02:52 Political Influence of Podcasts

    05:26 Audience Engagement and Monetization

    09:09 The Future of Media Consumption

    22:11 Part Two

    22:13 Tech Trends and Predictions

    37:46 AI and Data Utilization

    46:12 Closing Thoughts and Farewell

    48:33 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    49 分
  • Solving for X
    2024/10/28

    Repeat from November, 2023.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com


    In this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page engage in an in-depth discussion with Alex Kantrowitz, veteran tech journalist and founder of Big Technology. The discussion provides insights on some of the issues and dilemmas facing Twitter (now called X) under the leadership of Elon Musk. Kantrowitz offers valuable perspectives on the changing dynamics in the tech world, touching on the rise of Reddit, problems with 'Threads', and the impact of new leadership on Twitter's performance and brand value. The conversation also delves into the principle of 'Effective Altruism' prevalent in Silicon Valley and what it signifies about tech leadership. Analysis of recent data reveals Twitter's shrinking user base and engagement, though it remains a highly popular app. The episode wraps with Kantrowitz sharing about his newsletter 'Big Technology', and its recent features.


    00:00 Introduction and Welcome

    00:46 Part One

    00:52 Interview with Tech Journalist Alex Kantrowicz

    02:17 Exploring Twitter's History and Business Model

    06:52 Twitter's Influence and Impact on Journalism

    07:32 The Decline of Traditional Media and the Rise of Digital Platforms

    08:45 Twitter's Role in the Attention Economy

    09:54 Twitter's Popularity and Influence Despite Declining Numbers

    15:06 Analyzing Twitter's User Data and Trends

    28:47 Part Two

    32:37 The Future of Twitter: Cyclical or Structural Decline?

    36:26 Twitter's Competition: Reddit and Threads

    36:34 The Struggles of Threads

    36:59 The Power of Network Effects

    38:17 The Limitations of Threads

    39:48 The Rise of Reddit

    40:04 The Role of Reddit in the Social Media Landscape

    40:54 The Impact of Pocket App on Twitter

    41:25 The Irrelevance of Threads and the Power of Meta

    44:20 The Challenges Twitter Faces

    45:50 Potential Strategies to Save Twitter

    49:32 The Future of Twitter Under Musk's Leadership

    54:51 The Role of Effective Altruism in Tech Companies

    58:57 The Danger of Singular Solutions

    59:27 The Value of Comments and the Future of Twitter

    01:01:38 Closing Remarks and Promotion of Big Technology

    01:02:34 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    1 時間 3 分

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