Bubble Trouble: Laying Out Inconvenient Truths About How Business and Financial Markets Really Work

著者: Magnificent Noise x Richard Kramer x Will Page
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  • Bubble Trouble features conversations between economist and author Will Page and independent analyst Richard Kramer that lay out some inconvenient truths about how financial markets really work. Like the “boy who cried wolf,” financial markets have a peculiar tendency to repeat past mistakes and get themselves into “bubble trouble.” They party hard, drink too much of the Kool Aid, and wake up with a pounding hangover...only to do the same thing the next day. With tech dominating daily headlines and teenage traders driving stocks to unprecedented valuations, you might be asking “What’s really going on?” “What am I missing?” Imagine having a set of tour guides to tell you the “story behind the story” of the world’s largest tech companies, and how they bend - or break - the rules of economics.

    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    Copyright Magnificent Noise
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  • AI Supremacy and Ethical Dilemmas: A Conversation with Parmy Olson
    2024/09/16

    Today we’ve got a page turner…not that Page, our co-presenter…but a book that brings the AI battle to life: Supremacy: AI, ChatGPT and the Race That Will Change the World, Written by our guest, Parmy Olson. Buckle up as it's going to be a wild ride.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)

    AI Supremacy and Ethical Dilemmas: A Conversation with Parmy Olson


    In this episode of Bubble Trouble, hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page sit down with Bloomberg columnist and AI expert, Parmy Olson, to discuss her new book, 'Supremacy: AI, ChatGPT, and the Race that Will Change the World.' The conversation covers the ethical challenges and regulatory gaps in the AI industry, the role of big tech corporations in AI development, and the societal impact of AI on various sectors including healthcare, education, and law. Olson also shares insights on the bias and unintended consequences of AI technology, the psychology of tech innovators, and the future prospects for the technology.


    00:00 Introduction

    00:51 Meet the Guest: Parme Olson

    01:08 Parmy Olson's Journey in Tech Journalism

    02:25 The Fascination with Silicon Valley

    03:26 The Metaverse Debate

    04:16 Investigative Journalism in Tech

    08:05 The AI Hype: Reality or Exaggeration?

    10:57 The Race for AI Supremacy

    14:29 Unintended Consequences of AI

    20:18 The Ethics of AI Development

    22:55 Closing Thoughts on AI and Tech

    24:49 Part Two

    25:23 The Competitive Landscape of AI

    26:07 The Shift from Openness to Secrecy

    27:42 Meta's Approach to Open Source AI

    28:55 The Role of Open Source in Tech Development

    30:57 The Allure of High Salaries in AI

    31:09 Capitalism and AI: A Cautionary Tale

    31:55 The Distinction Between Business and Markets

    33:49 AI's Potential in Public Services

    36:49 The Future of Law with AI

    41:24 The Psychology of Tech Companies

    48:06 The Bubble and Reality of AI

    49:38 The Future of AI and Human Roles

    51:47 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

    52:17 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    53 分
  • Definitely (Maybe) Dynamic Booms and Busts
    2024/09/09

    We’re back from summer break and we want to revisit some past pods as they get dragged into the current of current events, making our predictions as good - or even better - than the AI led herd. Today we’ve got a slew of stories to unpack, from AI Fakes and our podcast with the now-under-threat CEO of Boomy, the unwinding of the greatest money making machine you never heard of, and in Part Two revisiting our Ticketmaster / Live Nation show and the current fiasco of dynamic pricing for Oasis tickets.

    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)

    In this episode of 'Bubble Trouble,' hosts Richard Kramer and Will Page dive into two major topics affecting today's financial and entertainment markets. They discuss the recent fraudulent activities surrounding AI-generated music streams, detailing the $10 million scam involving fake fans and manipulated royalties. Moving on, they shed light on the Oasis ticketing debacle, where surge pricing and market manipulation led to skyrocketing ticket prices and public outcry. Throughout the episode, they revisit past discussions, particularly focusing on market turbulence and the intricacies of carry trades. The hosts promise more exciting content and insights into market dynamics as they kick off their autumn season.


    00:00 Introduction and Welcome Back

    01:08 Part One

    01:33 Reflecting on Past Episodes

    02:11 Summer Break and Market Turbulence

    03:42 Understanding Carry Trades

    09:46 Nvidia's Market Impact

    13:07 AI Music Fraud Scandal

    23:41 Part Two

    23:41 Oasis Ticket Fiasco

    24:59 Ticket Demand and Dynamic Pricing

    26:30 Surge Pricing vs. Dynamic Pricing

    30:58 The Role of Ticketmaster and Market Manipulation

    36:03 Potential Solutions and Future Outlook

    43:07 Concluding Thoughts and Wrap-Up

    43:48 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    44 分
  • Constructing Bubbles with David Trainer
    2024/09/02

    This week we’re going to keep on pricking bubbles with a fellow cynic of the sycophants and stenographers. Here to help us is David Trainer of New Constructs, whose company makes “robo-adjustments” to the reported accounts of 1000s of listed companies and tries to unearth the real financials behind the content marketing from company investor relations teams.


    For more on Bubble Trouble, including transcripts of the show, visit us online at http://bubbletroublepodcast.com

    You can learn more about Richard at https://www.linkedin.com/in/richard-kramer-16306b2/

    More on Will Page at: https://pivotaleconomics.com

    (Times below correspond to the episode without considering any inserted advertisements.)


    In this episode of Bubble Trouble, guest David Trainor, the founder of New Constructs, delves into his background in economics and statistics, his time at Credit Suisse, and his perspective on market bubbles and financial accountability. The discussion ranges from the detrimental effects of rapid, superficial analysis and reporting pervasive in today's investment industry, to the importance of rigorous fundamental analysis in discerning true business value. The conversation also touches on companies' strategic overstatement of profits, the ill-effects of unchecked capital allocation, and the role of artificial intelligence in future financial analytics. As the founder of New Constructs, David highlights how his company is helping investors uncover the real financial situation behind companies' reported accounts.


    00:00 Introduction

    00:57 Part One

    01:02 Guest Introduction: David Trainor

    01:26 Understanding New Constructs

    02:22 The Cynicism in Wall Street

    03:02 David's Backstory and the Tech Bubble

    04:11 The Role of Accounting in Business

    05:37 The Reality of Wall Street

    07:42 The Boy Who Cried Wolf: A Market Perspective

    08:27 The Intentionality of Market Bubbles

    15:44 The Impact of Algorithmic Trading

    18:28 The Difference Between Investing and Speculating

    23:49 The Challenge of Limited Company Disclosure

    26:12 Part Two

    27:34 Discussing the Spectrum of Corporate Ethics

    27:42 Highlighting Notorious Corporate Scandals

    28:05 Elon Musk: Genius or Snake Oil Salesman?

    28:46 The Reality of Earnings Distortion

    29:09 The Unsettling Truth About CFOs and Wall Street Analysts

    29:40 The Role of Investor Relations Firms

    30:37 The Problem with Superficial Analysis

    33:43 The Art of Investing: A Touchy Feely Approach

    35:55 The Role of AI in the Future of Financial Analysis

    47:18 The Dangers of Overstating Profits and Zombie Stocks

    50:57 Closing Thoughts and Future Predictions

    50:59 Credits



    Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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    51 分

あらすじ・解説

Bubble Trouble features conversations between economist and author Will Page and independent analyst Richard Kramer that lay out some inconvenient truths about how financial markets really work. Like the “boy who cried wolf,” financial markets have a peculiar tendency to repeat past mistakes and get themselves into “bubble trouble.” They party hard, drink too much of the Kool Aid, and wake up with a pounding hangover...only to do the same thing the next day. With tech dominating daily headlines and teenage traders driving stocks to unprecedented valuations, you might be asking “What’s really going on?” “What am I missing?” Imagine having a set of tour guides to tell you the “story behind the story” of the world’s largest tech companies, and how they bend - or break - the rules of economics.

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Copyright Magnificent Noise

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