• Chapter 4 Talk 11: The Psychology of Human Misjudgment
    2024/10/07

    In "Chapter 4 Talk 11: The Psychology of Human Misjudgment", Munger details his theory on the psychology of human misjudgment. Munger argues that humans are prone to a variety of cognitive biases, which often lead to poor decision-making. He describes these biases in detail, using vivid examples and anecdotes to illustrate their power. The chapter also examines the potential for these biases to be overcome, suggesting various strategies and techniques for improving judgment. Munger ultimately emphasizes that understanding these psychological tendencies is crucial for achieving wisdom and success in life.

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    6 分
  • Chapter 4 Talk 10: USC Gould School of Law Commencement Address
    2024/10/07

    In "Chapter 4 Talk 10: USC Gould School of Law Commencement Address", Munger delivers a series of insights on the importance of lifelong learning, emphasizing the acquisition of wisdom across multiple disciplines. He draws on historical figures like Confucius, Cicero, and Epictetus to illustrate his points, highlighting the dangers of ideology and self-serving biases. Munger also shares a cautionary tale of a successful canoeist who underestimated the danger of whirlpools, drawing a parallel to the dangers of intense ideology. He argues for the importance of intellectual humility, stating that true wisdom requires the ability to articulate opposing viewpoints effectively. Munger concludes by advocating for a world where people are chosen for their genuine knowledge and expertise rather than superficial appearances.

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    15 分
  • Chapter 4 Talk 9: Academic Economics: Strengths and Faults after Considering Interdisciplinary Needs
    2024/10/07

    In "Chapter 4 Talk 9: Academic Economics: Strengths and Faults after Considering Interdisciplinary Needs", Munger criticizes the field of academic economics, arguing that it is too insular and suffers from a lack of multidisciplinary thinking, particularly in terms of incorporating psychology and recognizing the importance of second-order effects. He highlights the importance of recognizing the influence of both virtue and vice on economic systems and the danger of clinging to flawed ideas. Munger shares anecdotes and examples from his own experiences and the lives of others to illustrate his points, demonstrating the importance of critical thinking, embracing complexity, and being willing to challenge conventional wisdom.

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    16 分
  • Chapter 4 Talk 8: The Great Financial Scandal of 2003
    2024/10/07

    In "Chapter 4 Talk 8: The Great Financial Scandal of 2003", Munger uses the story of a fictional engineering company, Quant Tech, to illustrate the dangers of improper accounting practices, particularly the use of stock options. The story follows the company's transition from a successful and ethical firm under its founder to a morally bankrupt entity after his death, where executives exploit accounting loopholes to inflate earnings. Munger critiques the accounting profession for failing to address the flaws in stock option accounting and the consequences of such practices for shareholders and the broader economy. The story ends with a parable involving God and a group of accountants who are deemed responsible for the scandal, highlighting Munger's belief in the importance of ethical conduct and sound accounting practices.

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    11 分
  • Chapter 4 Talk 7: Breakfast Meeting of the Philanthropy Roundtable
    2024/10/07

    "Chapter 4 Talk 7: Breakfast Meeting of the Philanthropy Roundtable" argues that economists underestimate the influence of rising stock prices on spending and economic growth. He highlights the "wealth effect" in the United States, drawing parallels to Japan's economic stagnation following a stock market crash. Munger introduces the concept of "febezzlement," which he defines as the functional equivalent of embezzlement, and argues that excessive investment costs, particularly in the realm of mutual funds, represent a significant source of this "febezzlement" that artificially inflates stock prices. He concludes by emphasizing the importance of sound investment practices for charitable foundations and the ethical responsibility of all stakeholders to avoid perpetuating ignorance that fuels detrimental economic practices.

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    6 分
  • Chapter 4 Talk 6: Investment Practices of Leading Charitable Foundations
    2024/10/07

    "Chapter 4 Talk 6: Investment Practices of Leading Charitable Foundations" argues that charitable foundations often make poor investment decisions due to excessive complexity and reliance on investment consultants. He criticizes the use of "fund of funds" structures, which he compares to the practices of Bernie Cornfeld, a disgraced mutual fund salesman. Munger suggests that foundations should consider adopting a more passive investment strategy, similar to that of Berkshire Hathaway, with a focus on long-term value creation and minimal investment turnover. He also emphasizes the importance of understanding the broader investment ecosystem and avoiding the pitfalls of overconfidence and excessive diversification.

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    9 分
  • Chapter 4 Talk 5: The Need for More Multidisciplinary Skills from Professionals: Educational Implications
    2024/10/07

    "Chapter 4 Talk 5: The Need for More Multidisciplinary Skills from Professionals: Educational Implications" explores the necessity of multidisciplinary skills for professionals, particularly in fields dealing with broad-scale problems. Munger argues that traditional, unidisciplinary education is insufficient for tackling complex issues that cross various academic disciplines. He advocates for a more comprehensive approach, drawing inspiration from pilot training, which emphasizes broad knowledge, fluency in various skills, and a systematic approach to problem-solving. Munger further criticizes the "take what you wish" practice prevalent in soft science, where disciplines borrow from other fields without proper attribution or understanding of their fundamental relationships. He proposes several solutions to improve multidisciplinary education, including mandatory courses, problem-solving practices, and increased use of business periodicals. Ultimately, Munger asserts that the fundamental organizing ethos of hard science – prioritizing fundamental knowledge and rigorous analysis – holds valuable lessons for soft science fields, advocating for a more structured and comprehensive approach to education and decision-making.

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    13 分
  • Chapter 4 Talk 4: Practical Thought About Practical Thought?
    2024/10/07

    In "Chapter 4 Talk 4: Practical Thought About Practical Thought?", Munger shares his insights on the importance of multidisciplinary thinking for effective problem-solving. He discusses five "helpful notions" that have proven useful throughout his career. These include simplifying problems, utilizing numerical fluency, thinking in reverse, understanding the power of elementary concepts, and recognizing the importance of large combinations of factors in achieving significant results. Munger then uses these notions to illustrate his approach to a hypothetical business problem, that of turning $2 million into $2 trillion in 150 years. The text also highlights Munger's criticism of academic psychology for its lack of interdisciplinary synthesis and its failure to recognize the importance of "lollapalooza" effects, and its inability to explain the success of Coca-Cola. He suggests that academic psychology is failing to adequately prepare individuals for real-world challenges, and he argues for a more holistic approach to education that embraces multidisciplinary thinking.

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    15 分